The financial services industry waits with baited breath as the two latest heavyweight contenders in the long running wrestling match that has been the pensions' debate enter the ring - Lord Adair Turner and Chancellor Gordon Brown.
The past has seen a succession of pensions ministers give it a go, going toe-to-toe with pensions experts, the industry, think tanks and consumer groups over what shape reform should take.
The results of these earlier bouts have been interesting in that they have seen various approaches tried, but with limited if any success. These include the Government's 'big idea', the Stakeholder Pension, and Gordon Brown's increasingly Heath Robinson tangle of complexity in state pensions, focused heavily on means testing.
The earlier debates have been quite intellectually productive, in that there is now a reasonable consensus amongst all involved 每 with the notable exception of Gordon Brown 每 about the broad direction in which pensions' reform needs to go.
The consensus view is that the state pensions system needs urgent redesign because it is unfair (especially to women), expensive to run, impenetrably complicated, and with its fixation on means testing, it discourages far too wide a slice of the population from saving for their own retirement on top of the state pension.
This agreement was pretty clear even before the recent election. However, the Government managed to postpone any real debate about it by having the Pensions Commission review the whole thing and report back after the election.
Well, it just has, and Government-appointed chairman, Adair Turner, spent much of his recent days being interviewed on the radio, television and by the press about his conclusions and recommendations.
Not surprisingly, he reached very similar views to everyone else who had been trying to solve the pensions' crisis, bar Brown. He did not go as far as some experts believe we should go in moving to a radically simpler state pension and almost a complete lack of means testing. But he certainly did reach the firm conclusion that Gordon Brown's strategy was not working and needed a radical overhaul.
He proposed a gradual shift to a higher state pension age to take some account of the big changes that have occurred to our longevity over the years. In return for this, he advocates a higher basic state pension for all, with the more generous link to earnings restored.
Turner also proposed a new 'Britsaver' pension saving plan. All new employees would be automatically enrolled into this new, centralised, very low cost scheme, with employers compelled to contribute unless the employee chooses to opt out of the scheme.
But even before the opening bell had sounded, the main event had kicked off.
The week before Turner was scheduled to publish the Commission's work, Gordon Brown's team were briefing the press against it, claiming it would be too costly.
Once Turner was in the ring, he quickly fought back and has since proved that these claims by the Treasury are quite unfounded. Most people have assumed that the Treasury's pre-emptive attack was driven by a desire to trash the Commission's findings because they so categorically and convincingly called the Chancellor's state pensions strategy into question.
So it's the end of round one. Turner is ahead on points and has the majority of the crowd on his side. But of course the Chancellor is the reigning champion. And although he risks getting booed out of the ring, he could simply ignore Turner's recommendations.
Despite the fact that the pensions' debate has been raging for many years now, this main event will in fact be quite brief 每 three rounds at most. The Government has promised firm proposals as to what they are going to do, whether in line with the Commission's recommendations or not, by later this spring.
There is still time to place your bets# |